IEEE Working Group on Energy Forecasting
Chair: Dr. Hamidreza Zareipour, University of Calgary, Canada (Secretary: 2012 - 2016; Vice Chair: 2016 - 2019)
Secretary: Dr. Yi Wang, ETH Zurich, Switzerland
Past Chair: Dr. Tao Hong, University of North Carolina at Charlotte, USA (Chair: 2011 - 2019)
Past Officers:
Dr. Shu Fan, Monash University (Vice Chair: 2011 - 2016)
Last update: August, 2019. The working group webpage has been moved to http://www.eeyiwang.com/WGEF.html.
Scope Utility application oriented energy forecasting Focus on practical needs of utilities: - Data: outlier detection, data cleansing, selection of weather station(s) - Inputs: temperature forecast, wind forecast, solar forecast, EV load forecast, customer behavior, demand response activities, loss evaluation - Modeling: hierarchical (system-substation-feeder-meter) forecasting, multi-region forecasting - Applications (outputs): price forecasting, demand response analysis, planning of demand side management, risk management, weather normalization, loss evaluation Completed Projects
| Join Working GroupAnnouncements |
Activities at PES Conferences
Panel Session: "Probabilistic energy forecasting"
Chairs: Yi Wang and Tao Hong
1. "Modelling forecast errors in operation scheduling: The case of microgrids" -- Hamidreza Zareipour, University Calgary, Canada
2. "Probabilistic industrial load forecasting" -- Antonio Bracale, University of Napoli Parthenope, Italy
3. "Spatio-temporal modeling and forecasting of wind power" -- Ciaran Gilbert, University of Strathclyde, UK
4. "Combining probabilistic load forecasts" -- Yi Wang, ETH Zurich, Switzerland
5. "Deep Learning for multivariate probabilistic forecasting" -- François Vallée, Université de Mons, Belgium
Panel Session: "Accommodating intermittent renewable energy by multiple energy systems integration: forecasting, operations and planning"
Chairs: Ning Zhang and Tao Hong
1. "Energy Systems Integration: a megatrend or just business as usual?" -- Mark O'Malley, University College Dublin, Ireland
2. "Using energy system integration to increase grid flexibility and increase renewable energy deployments" -- Benjamin Kroposki, National Renewable Energy Laboratory, USA
3. "Multi-energy virtual storage for low carbon systems" -- Pierluigi mancarella, University of Manchester, UK
4. "Clearing and Pricing for Coordinated Gas and Electricity Day-ahead Markets Considering Wind Power Uncertainty" -- Jianhui Wang; Argonne National Laboratory, USA
5. "Standardized Matrix Modeling of Multiple Energy Systems" -- Ning Zhang, Tsinghua University, China
6. "Lessons Learned from Global Energy Forecasting Competition 2017" -- Tao Hong, University of North Carolina at Charlotte, USA
Tutorial: "Energy Forecasting in the Smart Grid Era"
Instructors:
1. Tao Hong, University of North Carolina at Charlotte, USA
2. Hamidreza Zareipour, University of Calgary, Canada
3. Pierre Pinson, Technical University of Denmark
Panel Session: "Offering, Pricing and Managing Uncertainty and Variability in Power System Operations with Significant Renewable Energy Integration"
Chairs: Ning Zhang and Pierre Pinson
1. "Reserves in Stochastic Unit Commitment: an Irish System Case Study" -- Mark O'Malley, University College Dublin, Ireland
2. "Towards Pricing of Uncertainty and Variability in Electricity Markets" -- Pierre Pinson, Technical University of Denmark, Denmark
3. "Data-Driven Real-Time Power Dispatch for Maximizing Variable Renewable Generation" -- Jianhui Wang; Argonne National Laboratory, USA
4. "Probabilistic Forecasting and Optimization of Power Systems Operation" -- Dimitry Gorinevsky and Saahil Shenoy, Stanford University, USA
5. "Remuneration of Flexible Capacity through Operating Reserve Demand Curves: a Case Study of Belgium" -- Anthony Papavasiliou; Universite Catholique de Louvain, Belgium
6. "Modeling and Handling the Uncertainty of Wind Power in Power System Operation Optimization" -- Ning Zhang; Tsinghua University, China
Tutorial: "Energy Forecasting in the Smart Grid Era"
Instructors:
1. Tao Hong, University of North Carolina at Charlotte, USA
2. Shu Fan, Monash University, Australia
3. Hamidreza Zareipour, University of Calgary, Canada
Panel Session: "Global Energy Forecasting Competition 2014: an Overview"
Chair: Tao Hong
1. "Probabilistic Electric Load Forecasting" -- Shu Fan, Monash University, Australia
2. "Probabilistic Electricity Price Forecasting" -- Hamidreza Zareipour, University of Calgary, Canada
3. "Probabilistic Wind Power Forecasting" -- Pierre Pinson, Technical University of Denmark
4. "Probabilistic Solar Power Forecasting" -- Alberto Troccoli, CSIRO, Australia
5. "GEFCom2014 Institute Prize - University of North Carolina at Charlotte" -- Tao Hong, University of North Carolina at Charlotte, USA
6. "GEFCom2014 Institute Prize - Tsinghua University" -- Chongqing Kang, Tsinghua University, China
7. "Probabilistic Load and Price Forecasting - Tololo" -- R. Nedellec, EDF R&D, France
8. "Probabilistic Price, Wind and Solar Forecasting - C3 Green Team" -- Zico Kolter, Carnegie Mellon University, USA
9. "Probabilistic Wind and Solar Forecasting - dmlab" -- Gabor Nagy, Budapest University of Technology and Economics, Hungary
Panel Session: "Global Energy Forecasting Competition 2014: Finalist Presentations"
Chair: Tao Hong
1. "Probabilistic Electric Load Forecasting - Adada" -- Amandine Pierrot, EDF R&D, France
2. "Probabilistic Electric Load Forecasting - Jingrui (Rain) Xie" -- Jingrui Xie, SAS, USA
3. "Probabilistic Electric Load Forecasting - OxMath" -- Stephen Haben, University of Oxford, UK
4. "Probabilistic Electricity Price Forecasting - Team Poland" -- Jakub Nowotarski, Wrocław University of Technology, Poland
5. "Probabilistic Electricity Price Forecasting - Pat1" -- Frank Lemke, KnowledgeMiner Software, Germany
6. "Probabilistic Wind Power Forecasting - kPower" -- Mark Landry, Eigen Analytics, USA
7. "Probabilistic Wind Power Forecasting - Yao Zhang" -- Yao Zhang, Xi’an Jiaotong University, China
8. "Probabilistic Solar Power Forecasting - Gang-gang" -- Jing Huang, CSIRO, Australia
9. "Probabilistic Solar Power Forecasting - UT_Argonne" -- Duehee Lee, University of Texas at Austine, USA
Global Energy Forecasting Competition 2014 - Reception
Chair: Tao Hong
2014 PES General Meeting, National Harbor, MD, July 27 - 31, 2014
2014 IEEE PES T&D Conference & Exposition, Chicago, IL, April 14 - 17, 2014
Tutorial: "Energy Forecasting in the Smart Grid Era"
Instructors:
1. Tao Hong, University of North Carolina at Charlotte, USA
2. Hamidreza Zareipour, University of Calgary
Panel Session: "Load Forecasting: the State of the Practice"
Chairs: Tao Hong and Hamidreza Zareipour
1. "Data Issues in Spatial Electric Load Forecasting" -- Edgar Manuel Carreno Franco, UNIOESTE, Brazil
2. "Preparing EKPC’s Load Forecasting Process for PJM Integration" -- Jamie Hall, East Kentuky Power Cooperative, USA
3. "Local Short and Middle Term Electricity Load Forecasting with Semi-Parametric Additive Models" -- Raphael Nédellec, EDF R&D, France
4. "Long-term Load Forecasting at ERCOT" -- Calvin Opheim, ERCOT, USA
5. "Supply and Demand Forecasting in Competitive Markets: The Case of Alberta" -- John Esaiw, Alberta Electric System Operator, Canada4. "Long-term Load Forecasting at ERCOT" -- Calvin Opheim, ERCOT, USA
6. "Combining Load Forecasts from Multiple Vendors" -- Tao Hong, University of North Carolina at Charlotte, USA
2014 IEEE PES T&D Conference & Exposition, Chicago, IL, April 14 - 17, 2014
Panel Session: "Integrating Energy Forecasts into Utility Planning and Operations: Perspectives from Market Operators"
Chairs: Tao Hong and Hamidreza Zareipour
1. "Integrating Energy Forecasts into Utility Planning and Operations: Perspectives from Market Operators" -- Hamidreza Zareipour, University of Calgary, Canada
2. "Renewable Integration in the Operations of the California Energy Market" -- Guillermo Bautista Alderete, CAISO, USA
3. "Load and Renewable Forecast in Grid Operations and Planning: ERCOT Experiences" -- Sandip Sharma and Pengwei Du, ERCOT, USA
4. "Wind Forecast Integration at MISO” -- Kristian Ruud, MISO, USA
5. "Integrating Forecasts into Alberta’s Market" -- John Esaiw, AESO, Canada
3. "Load and Renewable Forecast in Grid Operations and Planning: ERCOT Experiences" -- Sandip Sharma and Pengwei Du, ERCOT, USA
4. "Wind Forecast Integration at MISO” -- Kristian Ruud, MISO, USA
5. "Integrating Forecasts into Alberta’s Market" -- John Esaiw, AESO, Canada
Panel Session: "Integrating Energy Forecasts into Utility Planning and Operations: Perspectives from Market Participants"
Chairs: Tao Hong and Hamidreza Zareipour
1. "Integrating Energy Forecasts into Utility Planning and Operations: Perspectives from Market Participants" -- Tao Hong, University of North Carolina at Charlotte, USA
2. "Optimal Utility Operations Planning and the Vital Role of Short-Term Forecasting" -- Arnie de Castro, SAS, USA
3. "Preparing for the Distribution Planners’ Increasingly Complex Job: A Pacific Gas and Electric LoadSEER Case Study" -- Scott Smith, Integral Analytics, USA
4. "Joining the Energy Market: Experiences from AECC" -- Crystal Glidewell, Arkansas Electric Cooperative Corporation, USA
5. "Meeting the Needs of Power Supply: NCEMC Experiences" -- Jason Wilson, North Carolina Electric Membership Corporation, USA
2. "Optimal Utility Operations Planning and the Vital Role of Short-Term Forecasting" -- Arnie de Castro, SAS, USA
3. "Preparing for the Distribution Planners’ Increasingly Complex Job: A Pacific Gas and Electric LoadSEER Case Study" -- Scott Smith, Integral Analytics, USA
4. "Joining the Energy Market: Experiences from AECC" -- Crystal Glidewell, Arkansas Electric Cooperative Corporation, USA
5. "Meeting the Needs of Power Supply: NCEMC Experiences" -- Jason Wilson, North Carolina Electric Membership Corporation, USA
2013 PES General Meeting, Vancouver, BC, Canada, 21 - 25 July, 2013
Tutorial: "Energy Forecasting in the Smart Grid Era"
Instructors:
1. Tao Hong, SAS
2. Shu Fan, Monash University
3. Hamidreza Zareipour, University of Calgary
4. Pierre Pinson, Technical University of Denmark
Panel Session: "Energy Forecasting: the State of the Art"
Chair: Tao Hong
1. "Load Curve Data Cleansing Methodologies and Tool" -- Wenyuan Li and Adriel Lau, BC Hydro, Canada
2. "Load Forecasting in Australian Energy Market" -- Shu Fan, Monash University, Australia
3. "Long Term Probabilistic Load Forecasting at NCEMC" -- Jason Wilson, North Carolina Electric Membership Corporation, USA
4. "Knowing One’s Limits – a DR Forecaster’s Challenge" -- Jeremy Donnell, PG&E, USA
5. "Modeling and Forecasting toward the Optimization of Regional Operation of PHEV Charging Stations" -- Wei-Jen Lee, University of Texas - Arlington, USA
6. "Price Forecasting in Modern Power Grids" -- Hamidreza Zareipour, University of Calgary, USA
7. "State of the Art in Wind Power Forecasting: Operations and Market Perspectives"-- Pierre Pinson, Technical University of Denmark, Denmark
Panel Session: "Global Energy Forecasting Competition Final Presentations"
Chair: Tao Hong
1. "Global Energy Forecasting Competition: An Introduction" -- Tao Hong, SAS, USA
2. "GEFCom2012 Hierarchical Load Forecasting: Exploratory Data Analysis" -- Stuart McMenamin, Itron, USA
3. "GEFCom2012 Hierarchical Load Forecasting: A Gradient Boosting Approach" -- Souhaib Ben Taieb, Université Libre de Bruxelles, Belgium
4. "GEFCom2012 Hierarchical Load Forecasting Using Multi-Scale Semi-Parametric Models" -- Raphael Nédellec, EDF R&D, France
5. "GEFCom2012 Hierarchical Load Forecasting Using Gradient Boosting Machines and Gaussian Process Regression" -- James Robert Lloyd, University of Cambridge, UK
6. "GEFCom2012 Hierarchical Load Forecasting Using a Refined Parametric Model" -- Colin Singleton, CountingLab Ltd, UK
7. "GEFCom2012 Wind Power Forecasting: An Ensemble Forecasting Approach with Gaussian Processes and Neural Networks" -- Duehee Lee, University of Texas at Austin, USA
8. "GEFCom2012 Wind Power Forecasting Using Gradient Boosting Machines" -- Gabor I. Nagy, Budapset University of Technology and Economics, Hungary
9. "GEFCom2012 Wind Power Forecasting: A Hybrid Approach" -- Matt Wytock, Carnegie Mellon University, USA
10. "GEFCom2012 Wind Power Forecasting: A k-Nearest Neighbors Approach" -- Ekaterina Mangalova, Siberian State Aerospace University, Russia
11. "GEFCom2012 Wind Power Forecasting: A Feature Engineering Approach" -- Lucas Eustaquio, DTI Sistemas, Brazil
2012 PES General Meeting, San Diego, CA, 22 - 26 July, 2012
Panel Session: "Demand Response: Analytics, Practice, and Challenges in Smart Grid Environment"
Chair: Tao Hong; Co-chair: Fan Shu
Topics and panelists:
1. "Demand Response Forecasting in Practice: Challenges and Opportunities" -- Liang Huang, PGE, USA
2. "On the Impact of Demand Response: Load Shedding, Energy Conservation, and Further Implications to Load Forecasting" -- Tao Hong, SAS, USA
3. "Pre-shifting Customer Behavior in Response to Dynamic Pricing Events" -- Richard Song, SCE, USA
4. "Demand Response Participation in Wholesale Energy Markets" -- Masood Parvania, Sharif University of Technology, Iran
5. "Demand Response – An Assessment of Load Participation in the ERCOT Nodal Market", Wei-Jen Lee, UT Arlington, USA
6. "Activity-Based Costing Applied To Automotive Manufacturing", Seog-Chan Oh, General Motors, USA
7. "IDROP: The New Generation of Demand Response", Thomas Osterhus, Integral Analytics, USA
Panel Session: "Load Forecasting Methodologies and Applications in Operations and Planning"
Chair: Tao Hong; Co-chair: Fan Shu
Topics and panelists:
1. "Electric Market and Operations Reliability" -- Mingguo Hong, Midwest ISO, USA
2. "Forecasting Electricity Demand in Australian National Electricity Market" -- Shu Fan, Monash University, Australia
2. "Forecasting Electricity Demand in Australian National Electricity Market" -- Shu Fan, Monash University, Australia
3. "Short-Term Electric Load Forecasting at Southern California Edison" -- Raymond Johnson, SCE, USA
4. "Short Term Load Forecasting based on Improved ESTAR GARCH Model" -- Hao Chen, Nanjing Power Supply Company, China
5. "An Efficient Kernel Machine Technique for Short-term Load Forecasting under Smart Grid Environment" -- Hiroyuki Mori, Meiji University, Japan
6. "Impact of Demand Response Contracts on Load Forecasting in a Smart Grid Environment" -- Qun Zhou, Alstom Grid, USA
7. "Weighted Parallel Algorithm to Improve the Performance of Short-term Wind Power Forecasting" -- Wei-Jen Lee, UT Arlington, USA
8. "Considering Urban Dynamics in Spatial Electric Load Forecasting" -- Edgar Franco, UNIOESTE, Brazil
4. "Short Term Load Forecasting based on Improved ESTAR GARCH Model" -- Hao Chen, Nanjing Power Supply Company, China
5. "An Efficient Kernel Machine Technique for Short-term Load Forecasting under Smart Grid Environment" -- Hiroyuki Mori, Meiji University, Japan
6. "Impact of Demand Response Contracts on Load Forecasting in a Smart Grid Environment" -- Qun Zhou, Alstom Grid, USA
7. "Weighted Parallel Algorithm to Improve the Performance of Short-term Wind Power Forecasting" -- Wei-Jen Lee, UT Arlington, USA
8. "Considering Urban Dynamics in Spatial Electric Load Forecasting" -- Edgar Franco, UNIOESTE, Brazil
2011 PES General Meeting, Detroit, MI, 25-29 July, 2011
Panel Session: "Practical Aspects of Electric Load Forecasting"
Chair: Tao Hong; Co-chair: Fran Li
Topics and panelists:
1. "A Naive Multiple Linear Regression Benchmark for Short Term Load Forecasting" -- Tao Hong, SAS, USA
2. "Comparative Study on Load Forecasting Technologies for Different Geographical Distributed Loads" -- Wei-Jen Lee, UT Arlington, USA
3. "Short Term Load Forecasting using Regime-Switching GARCH Models" -- Hao Chen, Nanjing Power Supply Company, China
4. "Short-term Load Forecasting Using Semi-parametric Additive Models" -- Shu Fan, Monash University, Australia
5. "MGE Experience with INSITE Spatial Load Forecasting" -- David Barger, MGE, USA
6. "Including a Combined Fuzzy and Probabilistic Load Model in Transmission Energy Loss Evaluation: Experience at BC Hydro" -- Wenyuan Li, BCTC, Canada